Kairos doesn't tell you what will go up. Kairos checks what you're being promised.
Price targets, “still early”, “scarce supply” – posts, videos and groups promise a lot. Kairos puts such statements next to live data for the 250 largest cryptocurrencies. And we openly show how good our own models are – including where they get it wrong.
Lots of promises, little evidence.
- Price targets and “the next 100x” come without any maths – what would actually have to happen?
- People who predict prices rarely show how often they were wrong.
- Exchange apps show prices – but not how risky a coin is compared with others.
Honest rather than impressive.
AI Reality Check
Paste a post, video quote or screenshot: Kairos checks every claim against live data, does the maths on price targets and shows what your amount would have gone through in the last 12 months.
Radically transparent
Every number with a source, every score broken down into factors, percentiles and weights. You can always see why a coin is rated cheap, expensive or risky.
Verifiable track record
Every day we store all scores and anchor them with a Bitcoin timestamp. Every week counts – including the ones where we were wrong.
A risk measure we've tested
In the test, the volatility of the last 30 days reliably showed which coins would fall harder afterwards. That's why it's our risk measure – not a complicated model.
AI with firm rules
The AI only writes from calculated numbers. It doesn't calculate itself, names no price targets of its own and never says “buy” or “sell” – numbers in its texts are checked against the data.
What we tested – and what doesn't work
Tested retrospectively, every week counted, nothing adjusted after the fact – hypothetical, no fees. Every statement here comes straight from the backtest figures.
- promising – in live test
On-chain growth (growth in fees and TVL)
Retrospectively, the top fifth was ahead in 29 of 46 weeks; €100 became €184, in the bottom fifth €79 (all rated coins; hypothetical, no fees). Because we only picked this pillar after looking at the results, it's a hypothesis: since 09/29/2026 it has been running unchanged in a live test, and since 09/30/2026 it has been the Growth Score in Kairos.
- works
Risk measure (volatility of the last 30 days)
In the riskiest fifth, prices fell on average by up to 38% at times over the following 30 days, in the calmest by 11%. It says nothing about direction.
- doesn't work
Old overall score (v1) as a prediction
Coins with a high overall score were ahead of those with a low one in 16 of 46 weeks (all rated coins). We stopped showing it on 09/30/2026. It is still stored daily and measured in the Track Record.
- doesn't work
Valuation (price/sales, price/fees)
Cheaply valued coins did not perform noticeably better afterwards (30 days, t-value −0.6). That's why we only show valuations descriptively.
- doesn't work
Momentum (what rose recently)
What rose strongly recently tended to perform worse afterwards (30 days, t-value −2.2).
Data
9 public sources: markets, derivatives, on-chain revenue, macro, news, development – updated continuously.
Test
Models are tested before we trust them: retrospectively in the backtest and live with daily snapshots anchored in Bitcoin.
Explain
Valuation, risk, warning signs and AI analysis – descriptive and sourced, without buy or sell recommendations.
More than prices. Less than a terminal.
| Kairos | Exchange apps | Pro terminals | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Live prices and charts | |||
| Valuation from on-chain revenue | — | ||
| Explainable scores (why?) | — | partly | |
| Public track record incl. failures | — | partly | |
| AI analyst on live data | — | partly | |
| Easy to understand, in your language | — |
Categories compared in general – individual providers may differ.
For everyone who doesn't simply want to believe crypto promises – but check them.
Kairos shows data and model-based assessments from public sources and is no substitute for investment advice. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile; a total loss is possible.