Promise Tracker
What became of the price targets?
We keep tracking every price target someone checks in the Reality Check: was it reached after 30, 90 or 180 days? Every target counts, even for coins that later drop out of the top 250.
Price targets tracked
2
from Reality Checks
Decided after 30 days
0
reached or period over
Of those, reached
—
no data yet
Minimum for a rate
10
decided targets per group
Reached in %
By size of the target (multiple of the price on the day of the check). Fewer than 10 decided targets: too early.
Within 30 days
too earlytoo earlytoo earlytoo early
under 2×
n = 0
2–10×
n = 0
10–100×
n = 0
100× or more
n = 0
Within 90 days
too earlytoo earlytoo earlytoo early
under 2×
n = 0
2–10×
n = 0
10–100×
n = 0
100× or more
n = 0
Within 180 days
too earlytoo earlytoo earlytoo early
under 2×
n = 0
2–10×
n = 0
10–100×
n = 0
100× or more
n = 0
Recently decided
Claims rephrased, without names – we check statements, not people
No decided price targets yet – the first are settled 30 days after the first checks.
How we count
- “Reached”: a daily price within the period was at or above the target. Measured once a day – brief intraday spikes don't count.
- The starting price is the price at the time of the check. Without price data, a target isn't counted.
- The tracker shows what people checked – not a representative sample of all price targets online.
- The past, not a forecast: whether a target was reached or missed says nothing about future targets.