Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Fair
- Risk
- High
- Technicals (daily)
- Neutral
- Macro
- Headwind
There is no on-chain revenue or TVL data (DefiLlama) for this coin – typical of memecoins, for example. Hence no Growth Score. As a substitute, Kairos shows activity: average daily volume of the last 30 days versus the 60 before, as a rank in the top 250 (0 = strongest decline, 100 = strongest increase). Not tested in the backtest, not in the live test.
AI analysis: Arweave
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 0
No notable opportunities right now.
Risks 1
- Falling knifeImportant
−30.6% in 30 days, trend still pointing down.
Notes
- Golden crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed above the SMA200 52 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
- No on-chain revenue dataMinor
Valuation is based on market data only (price, supply, trading).
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Sep 05, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)41neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position20%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)9.1%typical daily move ±9.1%
- Mayer Multiple1.41in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−96%high on Nov 04, 2021
- Max. drawdown 1 year−81%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year0.35moderate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin1.78 / 0.59swings more than Bitcoin
- Volume trend−5%roughly the same
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
There is no on-chain revenue or TVL data (DefiLlama) for this coin – typical of memecoins, for example. Hence no Growth Score. As a substitute, Kairos shows activity: average daily volume of the last 30 days versus the 60 before, as a rank in the top 250 (0 = strongest decline, 100 = strongest increase). Not tested in the backtest, not in the live test.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
99% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Neutral (56/100)
Derivatives (Binance perps)
ARUSDT
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