Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Overvalued
- Risk
- Low
- Technicals (daily)
- Bullish
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Aster
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 0
No notable opportunities right now.
Risks 2
- Dilution riskImportant
FDV = 3.1× MCap – only 31% of the supply is circulating. Future token unlocks weigh on the price.
- Fees collapsingRelevant
−33.8% vs. the previous month.
Notes
- Golden crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed above the SMA200 41 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Sep 16, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)50neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDpositiveshort-term momentum stronger than recently
- Bollinger position65%upper half of the band
- ATR (14 days)3.9%typical daily move ±3.9%
- Mayer Multiple1.06in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−71%high on Sep 24, 2025
- Max. drawdown 1 year−66%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−0.16worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin0.69 / 0.52swings less than Bitcoin
- Volume trend−1%roughly the same
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- TVL growth 30 d−5.1%78 · 35 %
- Fee growth 30 d−33.8%14 · 35 %
- TVL size$176.68M46 · 18 %
- Fee volume 30 d$4.04M61 · 12 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
31% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bullish (80/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Aster · Basis Trading · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
ASTERUSDT
About Aster
Aster is a next-generation decentralized perpetual exchange that combines non-custodial trading with advanced features like hidden orders and multi-chain support. The platform emerged from the merger of Astherus and APX Finance in late 2024, with APX token holders able to migrate their holdings to ASTER. Aster addresses the gap between centralized and decentralized exchanges by enabling traders to maintain full control of their assets while accessing deep liquidity and CEX-grade trading tools. The platform supports trading of both cryptocurrency perpetuals and U.S. stocks with up to 100x leverage, all settled on-chain in crypto without requiring traditional financial infrastructure. The platform offers two distinct trading modes to accommodate different user needs. Simple Mode provides one-click, MEV-resistant trading with up to 1001x leverage for beginners, while Pro Mode delivers a full order book with advanced features like automated grid trading and hidden orders that remain invisible until execution. Aster operates across BNB Chain, Ethereum, Solana, and Arbitrum without requiring bridging, with liquidity pooled across markets to support large trades with minimal slippage. A distinctive feature allows users to deposit yield-generating assets like asBNB or USDF as collateral, earning passive returns while trading, maximizing capital efficiency compared to platforms where collateral sits idle. Aster received backing from YZi Labs (formerly Binance Labs), which holds a minority stake through a private fund managing over $10 billion on behalf of early Binance executives. Changpeng Zhao, founder of Binance, serves in an advisory role and has personally invested over $2.5 million worth of ASTER tokens. The ASTER token serves multiple functions including governance rights, staking rewards through liquidity provision, and earning incentives through the platform's points program for traders and liquidity providers.
Price target check for Aster
What would Aster need for these prices? With market cap needed, comparison and history.