Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Fair
- Risk
- Medium
- Technicals (daily)
- Neutral
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Avalanche
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 2
- Far below ATH, fundamentals growingImportant
−93.9% from the all-time high, but TVL/fees are rising.
- Fees risingRelevant
+53.2% vs. the previous month.
Risks 0
No notable risks right now.
Notes
- Golden crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed above the SMA200 27 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Sep 30, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)36neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position13%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)6.3%typical daily move ±6.3%
- Mayer Multiple1.09in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−94%high on Nov 21, 2021
- Max. drawdown 1 year−70%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−0.83worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin1.10 / 0.53swings more than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+24%trading is increasing
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- Fee growth 30 d+53.2%94 · 43 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)100%89 · 21 %
- TVL size$559.01M61 · 21 %
- Fee volume 30 d$379.93K29 · 14 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
62% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Neutral (56/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Avalanche · Chain · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
AVAXUSDT
About Avalanche
Avalanche is a high throughput smart contract blockchain platform. Validators secure the network through a proof-of-stake consensus protocol. It is said to be fast, low cost, and environmental friendly.
Price target check for Avalanche
What would Avalanche need for these prices? With market cap needed, comparison and history.