Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Overvalued
- Risk
- Very high
- Technicals (daily)
- Bullish
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Bedrock
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 1
- Market value below TVLRelevant
MCap/TVL 0.40 – common for lending/staking, otherwise a sign of a low valuation.
Risks 5
- Dilution riskImportant
FDV = 3.4× MCap – only 30% of the supply is circulating. Future token unlocks weigh on the price.
- Falling knifeImportant
−44.3% in 30 days, trend still pointing down.
- Very high volatilityRelevant
222% annualised (7 d).
- Expensive relative to feesMinor
P/F 218× – more expensive than 97% of the peer group.
- Small market capMinor
$146.51M – more prone to sharp swings.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day lineHistorically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)48neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDpositiveshort-term momentum stronger than recently
- Bollinger position50%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)11.8%typical daily move ±11.8%
- Mayer Multiple1.84in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−63%high on Sep 20, 2026
- Max. drawdown 1 year−70%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year1.79good (1 or more)
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin0.18 / 0.02swings less than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+8%roughly the same
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- TVL growth 30 d−11.6%49 · 30 %
- Fee growth 30 d−3.4%45 · 30 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)10.9%22 · 15 %
- TVL size$365.35M57 · 15 %
- Fee volume 30 d$55.35K6 · 10 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
30% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bullish (64/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Bedrock · Anchor BTC · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
BRUSDT
About Bedrock
Bedrock DAO is a governance framework for managing decisions within the Bedrock ecosystem. It enables BR token holders to participate in governance by converting BR into veBR, a voting escrow token. Governance decisions include protocol parameters, incentive structures, and liquidity allocation. The governance system is based on veBR, which is obtained by locking BR tokens at a 1:1 ratio. The longer the lock duration, the greater the voting power. veBR holders vote on governance proposals, including gauge allocations that determine incentive distribution across liquidity pools.