Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Somewhat expensive
- Risk
- Low
- Technicals (daily)
- Bullish
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: BNB
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 0
No notable opportunities right now.
Risks 3
- Fees collapsingRelevant
−31.8% vs. the previous month.
- Low liquidityRelevant
Daily volume only 0.93% of market cap.
- One-sided long positioningRelevant
Long/short ratio 2.58 (accounts).
Notes
- Golden crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed above the SMA200 52 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Sep 03, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)50neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDpositiveshort-term momentum stronger than recently
- Bollinger position56%upper half of the band
- ATR (14 days)2.7%typical daily move ±2.7%
- Mayer Multiple1.14in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−45%high on Oct 13, 2025
- Max. drawdown 1 year−52%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−0.79worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin0.67 / 0.70swings less than Bitcoin, usually moves with it
- Volume trend−15%roughly the same
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- Fee growth 30 d−31.8%17 · 55 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)10.0%20 · 27 %
- Fee volume 30 d$14.37M77 · 18 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
66% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bullish (80/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Binance · Chain · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
BNBUSDT
About BNB
BNB is the native utility token of the BNB Chain ecosystem, acting as a multi-chain asset that powers decentralized applications and facilitates value exchange across its network. It serves as the primary asset for paying transaction gas and smart contract deployment fees while providing users with tiered fee discounts on the Binance exchange. The project’s main value proposition lies in its unified multi-chain architecture, which integrates a smart contract platform, a Layer 2 scaling solution, and a decentralized data storage network into a cohesive settlement and data availability layer. The network operates on a Proof of Staked Authority consensus mechanism, utilizing a group of 21 active validators known as the Cabinet to verify transactions and produce blocks every 3 seconds. Validators are elected daily based on the amount of BNB staked or delegated to them, and the system employs fast finality and slashing penalties to maintain security and integrity. To manage its long-term economy, the project uses a programmatic dual-burn strategy that permanently removes tokens through real-time fee destruction and quarterly buybacks. Launched in 2017 by the Binance platform, the project initially distributed 50% of its 200 million token supply to the public, while the founding team received 40% and angel investors were allocated 10%. Though it began as a token on the Ethereum network, it eventually migrated to its own autonomous architecture that remains fully compatible with the Ethereum Virtual Machine. Today, the token's utility includes paying for network gas, participating in staking rewards, and enabling decentralized governance through which holders can vote on technical upgrades and economic changes.
Price target check for BNB
What would BNB need for these prices? With market cap needed, comparison and history.