Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Somewhat expensive
- Risk
- Low
- Technicals (daily)
- Neutral
- Macro
- Headwind
For coins that mainly serve as a store of value (such as Bitcoin), Kairos does not measure fee or TVL growth – hence no Growth Score. As a substitute, Kairos shows activity: average daily volume of the last 30 days versus the 60 before, as a rank in the top 250 (0 = strongest decline, 100 = strongest increase). Not tested in the backtest, not in the live test.
AI analysis: Bitcoin
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 1
- Trending on CoinGeckoMinor
Above-average attention – often short-lived.
Risks 0
No notable risks right now.
Notes
- Golden crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed above the SMA200 49 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
- No on-chain revenue dataMinor
Valuation is based on market data only (price, supply, trading).
- Much in the newsMinor
12 recent articles – heightened attention.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Sep 08, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)44neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position19%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)2.4%typical daily move ±2.4%
- Mayer Multiple1.10in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- 200-week line$67,163.18price +20% aboveHistorically tested – Below the 200-week line for Bitcoin: too few signals (6 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−36%high on Oct 06, 2025
- Max. drawdown 1 year−48%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−0.67worse than the risk-free rate
- Volume trend+2%roughly the same
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
For coins that mainly serve as a store of value (such as Bitcoin), Kairos does not measure fee or TVL growth – hence no Growth Score. As a substitute, Kairos shows activity: average daily volume of the last 30 days versus the 60 before, as a rank in the top 250 (0 = strongest decline, 100 = strongest increase). Not tested in the backtest, not in the live test.
News
- Here’s what happened in crypto todayCointelegraph ·
- Bitcoin Wallet Maker Keystone Pulls Devices as Stolen Key Opens Door to FakesDecrypt ·
- Brazilian companies turned to stablecoins on election day to dodge a currency crashCoinDesk ·
- McDonald's McRib Doesn't Actually Boost Bitcoin's Price, Sorry EveryoneDecrypt ·
- Crypto could outperform AI stocks: Wall Street veteran Jordi VisserCointelegraph ·
- Bitcoin miners' move into AI is creating a new market for trading computing powerCoinDesk ·
- Bitcoin Mining Firm Luxor Raises $16 Million to Scale Its AI Compute PushDecrypt ·
- Luxor raises $16M from CMT Digital amid AI-Bitcoin miner convergenceCointelegraph ·
- Bitcoin price analysis sees ‘strong rally’ as old coins become dormantCointelegraph ·
- Bitcoin shows signs of weakness while Ripple's bank win fails to bolster XRPCoinDesk ·
- Why This Team of Ninjas Is Tripling Down on Mining BitcoinDecrypt ·
- Live updates: Bitcoin edges higher as Nasdaq surges 1.2%CoinDesk ·
Key figures
Market
Supply
96% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Neutral (56/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Bitcoin · Chain · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
BTCUSDT
About Bitcoin
Bitcoin is the world's first decentralized cryptocurrency, created in 2009 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto. It enables peer-to-peer electronic cash transactions without intermediaries like banks or governments, operating on a blockchain secured by Proof of Work mining and the SHA-256 cryptographic algorithm. With a fixed supply cap of 21 million coins and programmatic halvings every four years that reduce miner rewards, Bitcoin is designed as a deflationary digital asset often called "digital gold." Its value stems from solving the double-spending problem without trusted intermediaries, creating the first truly scarce digital asset with censorship resistance and permissionless access that no government, corporation, or individual can control. Bitcoin operates as a decentralized peer-to-peer network where transactions are recorded on a public ledger called the blockchain, distributed across thousands of computers globally. Transactions are grouped into blocks added approximately every 10 minutes through mining, where specialized computers compete to solve complex mathematical puzzles. Bitcoin has achieved mainstream adoption through multiple vectors. The January 2024 SEC approval of 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs opened Bitcoin investment to traditional finance participants, and corporations like Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) are using Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset to protect against currency debasement, offering MSTR holders amplified exposure to Bitcoin. The Bitcoin ecosystem continues to evolve with innovations like Ordinals, which emerged in January 2023 to enable NFT-like functionality directly on Bitcoin, and BRC-20 tokens, an experimental standard for creating fungible tokens using Ordinal inscriptions. BTCFi (Bitcoin Finance) represents emerging financial applications extending beyond Bitcoin's traditional role, with protocols like Babylon allowing Bitcoin holders to stake BTC to secure Proof of Stake chains.
Price target check for Bitcoin
What would Bitcoin need for these prices? With market cap needed, comparison and history.