Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Overvalued
- Risk
- Very high
- Technicals (daily)
- Bullish
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Bitway
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 1
- Intact uptrendRelevant
Price above SMA50, above SMA200.
Risks 6
- Dilution riskImportant
FDV = 6.6× MCap – only 15% of the supply is circulating. Future token unlocks weigh on the price.
- Expensive relative to revenueRelevant
P/S 2,667× – more expensive than 96% of the peer group.
- Capital flowing outRelevant
TVL −52.5% in 30 days.
- Fees collapsingRelevant
−45.1% vs. the previous month.
- Low liquidityRelevant
Daily volume only 0.60% of market cap.
- Very high volatilityRelevant
431% annualised (7 d).
Notes
- Far above the 200-day averageRelevant
Mayer Multiple 3.93 – considered overheated. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day lineHistorically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)50neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position34%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)13.6%typical daily move ±13.6%
- Mayer Multiple3.93high (above 2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−41%high on Oct 14, 2026
- Max. drawdown 1 year−66%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year3.44good (1 or more)
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin1.15 / 0.16swings more than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+21%trading is increasing
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- TVL growth 30 d−52.5%1 · 30 %
- Fee growth 30 d−45.1%13 · 30 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)23.2%41 · 15 %
- TVL size$36.54M25 · 15 %
- Fee volume 30 d$323.07K25 · 10 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
15% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Uptrend · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bullish (63/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Bitway Earn · Basis Trading · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
BTWUSDT
About Bitway
BTW is the native utility and governance token of the Bitway ecosystem. It powers network operations, enables staking and governance participation, and aligns incentives across Bitway’s yield, payment, and financing products. BTW serves as the core asset that unifies the Bitway network and supports its long-term growth.
Price target check for Bitway
What would Bitway need for these prices? With market cap needed, comparison and history.