Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Undervalued
- Risk
- High
- Technicals (daily)
- Bearish
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Bonk
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 1
- High value captureRelevant
59% of fees end up as protocol revenue.
Risks 3
- Capital flowing outRelevant
TVL −35.3% in 30 days.
- Fees collapsingRelevant
−46.3% vs. the previous month.
- Intact downtrendRelevant
Price below SMA50, below SMA200.
Notes
- Near the 52-week lowRelevant
Price in the bottom tenth of its yearly range – a floor or more selling?
- Far below the 200-day averageMinor
Mayer Multiple 0.74 – considered a cheap zone. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesDeath cross50-day line below the 200-day lineHistorically tested – Death cross for Bitcoin: no clear edge (9 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)45neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position37%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)7.7%typical daily move ±7.7%
- Mayer Multiple0.74low (below 0.8)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple low for Bitcoin: no clear edge (16 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−95%high on Nov 19, 2024
- Max. drawdown 1 year−85%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−1.24worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin1.65 / 0.69swings more than Bitcoin
- Volume trend−15%roughly the same
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- TVL growth 30 d−35.3%7 · 30 %
- Fee growth 30 d−46.3%12 · 30 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)58.5%59 · 15 %
- TVL size$7.95M3 · 15 %
- Fee volume 30 d$3.98M60 · 10 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
100% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Downtrend · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bearish (13/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
BONK.fun · Liquid Staking · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
1000BONKUSDT
About Bonk
Bonk is a dog-themed memecoin on the Solana blockchain, launched on Christmas Day 2022 to revitalize the Solana community following the FTX collapse. Created by an anonymous team of 22 Solana developers and builders, Bonk distributed 50% of its total 100 trillion token supply via airdrop to community members including NFT collectors, developers, and artists. The project positions itself as "the first Solana dog coin for the people, by the people," explicitly rejecting venture capital backing in favor of grassroots community ownership. What sets Bonk apart from other memecoins is its combination of fair launch mechanics, extensive ecosystem integration, and active deflationary strategy. Built on Solana, BONK benefits from fast transaction speeds and low fees that make it practical for everyday use. Native products include LetsBonk.fun (a memecoin launchpad that briefly became Solana's market leader in 2025, surpassing Pump.fun with over 78% market share), BonkSwap (a decentralized exchange) and BonkBot (a Telegram trading bot with built-in burn mechanics). BONK is available across 10 blockchain networks and listed on major exchanges including Binance, Coinbase, Kraken, and Robinhood. Governance is handled by BonkDAO, which holds 15% of the token supply and makes decisions through on-chain voting. The community has organized several major burn events, most notably the December 2024 BURNmas campaign that destroyed 1.69 trillion tokens worth over $50 million. In September 2025, Nasdaq-listed Safety Shot, Inc. formed BONK Holdings LLC and acquired over 2.5% of the circulating supply (valued at $55-63 million), making BONK one of the first memecoins to attract formal corporate treasury adoption. Core contributor Nom was appointed to Safety Shot's board, and the company holds a 10% revenue share in LetsBonk.fun. As with all memecoins, BONK is a highly speculative asset with substantial volatility. Its value is primarily driven by community sentiment, social media momentum, and meme culture rather than traditional utility. The anonymous team, while common in the memecoin space, means investors should exercise appropriate caution. Despite these risks, Bonk has established itself as one of the most successful community-driven tokens in the Solana ecosystem, approaching 1 million unique holders and expanding from a simple memecoin into meaningful DeFi infras