Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Undervalued
- Risk
- Very high
- Technicals (daily)
- Neutral
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Compound
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 2
- Market value below TVLRelevant
MCap/TVL 0.15 – common for lending/staking, otherwise a sign of a low valuation.
- Many shorts in the marketMinor
Long/short ratio 0.67 – a short squeeze is possible.
Risks 0
No notable risks right now.
Notes
- Golden crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed above the SMA200 32 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Sep 26, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)43neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position19%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)4.2%typical daily move ±4.2%
- Mayer Multiple1.07in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−97%high on May 11, 2021
- Max. drawdown 1 year−59%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−0.37worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin0.26 / 0.13swings less than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+15%roughly the same
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- TVL growth 30 d−10.3%57 · 30 %
- Fee growth 30 d+7.4%72 · 30 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)13.8%30 · 15 %
- TVL size$1.46B76 · 15 %
- Fee volume 30 d$2.67M55 · 10 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
100% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Neutral (56/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Compound Finance · Lending · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
COMPUSDT
About Compound
The Compound Governance Token is a governance token on the Compound Finance lending protocol, COMP allows the owner to delegate voting rights to the address of their choice; the owner’s wallet, another user, an application, or a DeFi expert. Anybody can participate in Compound governance by receiving delegation, without needing to own COMP. Anybody with 1% of COMP delegated to their address can propose a governance action; these are simple or complex sets of actions, such as adding support for a new asset, changing an asset’s collateral factor, changing a market’s interest rate model, or changing any other parameter or variable of the protocol that the current administrator can modify.