Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Fair
- Risk
- High
- Technicals (daily)
- Bullish
- Macro
- —
AI analysis: Convex Finance
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 2
- Market value below TVLRelevant
MCap/TVL 0.38 – common for lending/staking, otherwise a sign of a low valuation.
- Intact uptrendRelevant
Price above SMA50, above SMA200.
Risks 1
- Little development in the linked repoMinor
Last push 370 days ago – work may also happen in other repos.
Notes
- Golden crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed above the SMA200 54 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
- Lots of new capital in perpsRelevant
OI +81% in 30 d – the trend is leveraged, liquidation risk is rising.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Sep 03, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)53neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDpositiveshort-term momentum stronger than recently
- Bollinger position63%upper half of the band
- ATR (14 days)8.0%typical daily move ±8.0%
- Mayer Multiple1.34in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−96%high on Jan 01, 2022
- Max. drawdown 1 year−55%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year0.42moderate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin1.22 / 0.46swings more than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+27%trading is increasing
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- TVL growth 30 d−6.5%70 · 30 %
- Fee growth 30 d+3.9%65 · 30 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)38.6%53 · 15 %
- TVL size$562.8M62 · 15 %
- Fee volume 30 d$2.42M53 · 10 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
93% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Uptrend · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bullish (95/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Convex Finance · Yield · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
CVXUSDT
Development
convex-eth/platform
About Convex Finance
Convex is a protocol that simplifies Curve boosting experience in order to maximize yields. Convex allows Curve liquidity providers to earn trading fees and claim boosted CRV without locking CRV themselves. Liquidity providers can receive boosted CRV and liquidity mining rewards with minimal effort. If you would like to stake CRV, Convex lets users receive trading fees as well as a share of boosted CRV received by liquidity providers. This allows for a better balance between liquidity providers and CRV stakers as well as better capital efficiency. Curve liquidity providers can deposit their LP tokens into Convex to maximize their CRV earnings with a more efficient boost. Curve DAO token stakers will be able to earn additional boosted CRV and CVX tokens through the protocol.