Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Fair
- Risk
- Medium
- Technicals (daily)
- Bearish
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: FLOKI
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 0
No notable opportunities right now.
Risks 1
- Intact downtrendRelevant
Price below SMA50, below SMA200.
Notes
- Death crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed below the SMA200 4 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
- Near the 52-week lowRelevant
Price in the bottom tenth of its yearly range – a floor or more selling?
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesDeath cross50-day line below the 200-day line since Oct 23, 2026Historically tested – Death cross for Bitcoin: no clear edge (9 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)39neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position26%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)6.4%typical daily move ±6.4%
- Mayer Multiple0.89in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple low for Bitcoin: no clear edge (16 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−93%high on Jun 04, 2024
- Max. drawdown 1 year−72%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−1.05worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin1.71 / 0.79swings more than Bitcoin, usually moves with it
- Volume trend−14%roughly the same
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- TVL growth 30 d−11.8%46 · 67 %
- TVL size$12.12M7 · 33 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
48% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Downtrend · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bearish (5/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
FlokiFi Locker · Token Locker · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
1000FLOKIUSDT
About FLOKI
FLOKI is a community-driven, multi-chain utility token that powers a broad ecosystem including decentralized gaming, finance, and educational platforms. Originally evolving from a meme-based asset, the project now focuses on a utility-driven model centered around three pillars: community engagement, technical utility, and global charity work, balancing this ecosystem growth with social impact, such as building schools in developing nations like Ghana and Nigeria. Key features include Valhalla, an NFT metaverse game where the token serves as the primary currency for capturing creatures and upgrading characters. The ecosystem also features the FlokiFi Locker for securing digital assets and the University of FLOKI for web3 education,with real-world integration facilitated through a prepaid debit card for everyday purchases at global stores. Staking FLOKI allows users to earn rewards in a sister token. The project is led by a group of core advisors known by pseudonyms such as Sabre and B (The Viking) and is officially backed by DWF Labs, a major digital asset investment firm and market maker. While a small tax on decentralized trades helps fund development, value moves through the system as users utilize the token to pay for in-game items, access asset-locking services, or purchase merchandise.