Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Fair
- Risk
- Very high
- Technicals (daily)
- Neutral
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Provenance Blockchain
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 3
- Far below ATH, fundamentals growingImportant
−87.6% from the all-time high, but TVL/fees are rising.
- Cheap among chainsRelevant
P/F 90× – cheaper than 77% of chains with fee data.
- Fees risingRelevant
+34.9% vs. the previous month.
Risks 2
- Low liquidityRelevant
Daily volume only 0.01% of market cap.
- Very high volatilityRelevant
287% annualised (7 d).
Notes
- Near the 52-week lowRelevant
Price in the bottom tenth of its yearly range – a floor or more selling?
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesDeath cross50-day line below the 200-day lineHistorically tested – Death cross for Bitcoin: no clear edge (9 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)55neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDpositiveshort-term momentum stronger than recently
- Bollinger position82%upper half of the band
- ATR (14 days)7.6%typical daily move ±7.6%
- Mayer Multiple0.85in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple low for Bitcoin: no clear edge (16 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−88%high on Sep 14, 2025
- Max. drawdown 1 year−85%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−0.14worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin-0.23 / -0.05swings less than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+40%trading is increasing
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- Fee growth 30 d+34.9%91 · 43 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)0.0%5 · 21 %
- TVL size$131.74M42 · 21 %
- Fee volume 30 d$405.77K34 · 14 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
60% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Neutral (52/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Provenance · Chain · DefiLlama
About Provenance Blockchain
HASH is the native token of Provenance Blockchain, a sovereign L1 public, proof-of-stake blockchain built using the Cosmos SDK. Launched in 2018, Provenance Blockchain modernizes and democratizes financial markets by bringing clarity, access, and equity to participants across the global financial ecosystem. Our platform addresses the challenges of legacy financial infrastructure by providing a transparent, efficient, and accessible alternative for financial institutions and users alike.