Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Undervalued
- Risk
- High
- Technicals (daily)
- Bearish
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Immutable
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 0
No notable opportunities right now.
Risks 2
- Dilution riskRelevant
FDV = 2.2× MCap – only 45% of the supply is circulating. Future token unlocks weigh on the price.
- Small market capMinor
$124.37M – more prone to sharp swings.
Notes
- Golden crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed above the SMA200 18 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
- Near the 52-week lowRelevant
Price in the bottom tenth of its yearly range – a floor or more selling?
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Oct 09, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)34neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position19%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)7.8%typical daily move ±7.8%
- Mayer Multiple0.95in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple low for Bitcoin: no clear edge (16 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−99%high on Nov 25, 2021
- Max. drawdown 1 year−81%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−1.25worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin1.16 / 0.54swings more than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+34%trading is increasing
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- TVL size$11.04M6 · 100 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
45% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bearish (36/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Immutable zkEVM · Chain · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
IMXUSDT
About Immutable
IMX is the native token for the Immutable X network, the first zk-rollup for NFT on Ethereum.