Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Fair
- Risk
- High
- Technicals (daily)
- Bullish
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Fluid
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 2
- Market value below TVLRelevant
MCap/TVL 0.17 – common for lending/staking, otherwise a sign of a low valuation.
- Intact uptrendRelevant
Price above SMA50, above SMA200.
Risks 1
- One-sided long positioningRelevant
Long/short ratio 3.59 (accounts).
Notes
- Golden crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed above the SMA200 20 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
- Lots of new capital in perpsRelevant
OI +45% in 30 d – the trend is leveraged, liquidation risk is rising.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Oct 08, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)55neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position39%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)3.4%typical daily move ±3.4%
- Mayer Multiple1.56in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−91%high on Jun 16, 2021
- Max. drawdown 1 year−82%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−0.33worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin0.06 / 0.02swings less than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+68%trading is increasing
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- TVL growth 30 d−15.8%30 · 30 %
- Fee growth 30 d−8.3%39 · 30 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)19.8%37 · 15 %
- TVL size$1.11B71 · 15 %
- Fee volume 30 d$3.52M57 · 10 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
84% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Uptrend · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bullish (79/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Fluid · Lending · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
FLUIDUSDT
Development
instadapp/dsa-connect
About Fluid
On Instadapp, users and developers manage and build their DeFi portfolio - the world's most advanced platform to start leveraging the full potential of Decentralized Finance.