Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Fair
- Risk
- High
- Technicals (daily)
- Neutral
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Jupiter
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 1
- Market value below TVLRelevant
MCap/TVL 0.40 – common for lending/staking, otherwise a sign of a low valuation.
Risks 1
- Dilution riskRelevant
FDV = 2.1× MCap – only 33% of the supply is circulating. Future token unlocks weigh on the price.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since May 30, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)41neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position19%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)8.7%typical daily move ±8.7%
- Mayer Multiple1.25in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−86%high on Jan 31, 2024
- Max. drawdown 1 year−68%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−0.07worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin1.37 / 0.50swings more than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+12%roughly the same
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- TVL growth 30 d−14.3%33 · 30 %
- Fee growth 30 d−18.2%25 · 30 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)26.1%42 · 15 %
- TVL size$2.32B80 · 15 %
- Fee volume 30 d$15.42M80 · 10 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
33% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Neutral (48/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Jupiter · Lending · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
JUPUSDT
About Jupiter
Jupiter is a cryptocurrency exchange platform on the Solana blockchain, offering features such as token swapping, limit orders, dollar-cost averaging, and a bridge for asset transfers to Solana. It provides users with tools to find the best trading prices and includes a beta version for perpetual futures trading. Jupiter finds the best price route for your swap by aggregating all the major liquidity sources on Solana.