Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Fair
- Risk
- Very high
- Technicals (daily)
- Bearish
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Kaia
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 1
- Many shorts in the marketMinor
Long/short ratio 0.76 – a short squeeze is possible.
Risks 1
- Intact downtrendRelevant
Price below SMA50, below SMA200.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesDeath cross50-day line below the 200-day lineHistorically tested – Death cross for Bitcoin: no clear edge (9 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)42neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position23%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)10.2%typical daily move ±10.2%
- Mayer Multiple0.94in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple low for Bitcoin: no clear edge (16 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−91%high on Dec 02, 2024
- Max. drawdown 1 year−80%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−0.57worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin1.58 / 0.46swings more than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+119%trading is increasing
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- TVL size$7.33M2 · 100 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
100% of total supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Downtrend · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bearish (13/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Kaia · Chain · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
KAIAUSDT
About Kaia
Kaia is an Ethereum-equivalent Layer 1 public blockchain that brings Web3 to the fingertips of hundreds of millions across Asia via their preferred messenger superapps. Kaia utilizes Practical Byzantine Fault Tolerance (pBFT), a highly-optimized version of BFT to achieve 4,000 real-world TPS while delivering 1-second block time with immediate absolute finality, which allows for near-instant transactions.