Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Somewhat expensive
- Risk
- Very high
- Technicals (daily)
- Bullish
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Kinetiq
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 4
- Market value below TVLRelevant
MCap/TVL 0.14 – common for lending/staking, otherwise a sign of a low valuation.
- Stronger than BitcoinRelevant
+34.9% better than BTC over 30 days, trend intact.
- Intact uptrendRelevant
Price above SMA50, above SMA200.
- Near the 52-week highMinor
Strength: price in the top part of its yearly range.
Risks 3
- Dilution riskImportant
FDV = 3.2× MCap – only 32% of the supply is circulating. Future token unlocks weigh on the price.
- Capital flowing outRelevant
TVL −27.3% in 30 days.
- Small market capMinor
$133.01M – more prone to sharp swings.
Notes
- Golden crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed above the SMA200 42 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Sep 16, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)64neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDpositiveshort-term momentum stronger than recently
- Bollinger position92%upper half of the band
- ATR (14 days)5.0%typical daily move ±5.0%
- Mayer Multiple2.15in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−7%high on Oct 01, 2026
- Max. drawdown 1 year−77%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year1.45good (1 or more)
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin0.33 / 0.08swings less than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+52%trading is increasing
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- TVL growth 30 d−27.3%12 · 30 %
- Fee growth 30 d−15.8%29 · 30 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)14.0%31 · 15 %
- TVL size$929.13M66 · 15 %
- Fee volume 30 d$1.84M49 · 10 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
32% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Uptrend · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bullish (95/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Kinetiq · Liquid Staking · DefiLlama
About Kinetiq
Kinetiq is a liquid staking protocol built natively on Hyperliquid, enabling users to stake the native token of the Hyperliquid blockchain (HYPE) and receive Kinetiq Staked HYPE (kHYPE) in return. kHYPE enables staking participation while retaining full liquidity and capital efficiency — earning staking rewards while staying active across DeFi. Behind the scenes, all staked HYPE is automatically delegated to the top-performing Hyperliquid validators, selected by StakeHub— Kinetiq’s autonomous validator scoring and delegation system.