Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Overvalued
- Risk
- Very high
- Technicals (daily)
- Bullish
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: LayerZero
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 2
- Intact uptrendRelevant
Price above SMA50, above SMA200.
- Many shorts in the marketMinor
Long/short ratio 0.58 – a short squeeze is possible.
Risks 2
- Dilution riskRelevant
FDV = 2.5× MCap – only 40% of the supply is circulating. Future token unlocks weigh on the price.
- Expensive relative to feesMinor
P/F 168× – more expensive than 91% of the peer group.
Notes
- Golden crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed above the SMA200 21 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Oct 06, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)44neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position9%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)12.1%typical daily move ±12.1%
- Mayer Multiple1.36in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−78%high on Dec 06, 2024
- Max. drawdown 1 year−69%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year0.44moderate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin0.94 / 0.33swings less than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+65%trading is increasing
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- Fee growth 30 d+25.0%87 · 55 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)0.0%5 · 27 %
- Fee volume 30 d$327.53K28 · 18 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
40% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Uptrend · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bullish (71/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
LayerZero V2 · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
ZROUSDT
About LayerZero
No description available.