Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- —
- Risk
- High
- Technicals (daily)
- Neutral
- Macro
- Headwind
Derivative token – opportunities/risks sit with the underlying asset.
AI analysis: MicroStrategy xStock
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 0
No notable opportunities right now.
Risks 2
- Dilution riskRelevant
FDV = 2.0× MCap – only 49% of the supply is circulating. Future token unlocks weigh on the price.
- Small market capMinor
$123.06M – more prone to sharp swings.
Notes
- Golden crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed above the SMA200 27 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
- Derivative tokenMinor
Tracks an underlying asset (wrapped/staked). Opportunities and risks sit with the underlying asset.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Sep 30, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)45neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position32%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)2.9%typical daily move ±2.9%
- Mayer Multiple1.06in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−69%high on Jul 17, 2025
- Max. drawdown 1 year−72%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−0.54worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin-0.16 / -0.07swings less than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+20%roughly the same
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
49% of total supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Neutral (56/100)
About MicroStrategy xStock
"For too long, investing has come with barriers. Borders. Brokers. Limitations. It’s been complicated, costly, and — for millions — out of reach. xStocks were created to change that. xStocks are tokenized stocks. They’re backed 1:1 by the underlying assets, composable with DeFi protocols, compliant with EU regulations, accessible to non-US users, and provide a legal claim to the value of the stock. xStocks enable easy access to 57 US Stocks and ETFs to regular users through top centralized and decentralized exchanges, and can be integrated with other DeFi protocols like any other token."