Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Fair
- Risk
- High
- Technicals (daily)
- Bearish
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Monad
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 1
- Cheap among chainsRelevant
P/F 54× – cheaper than 85% of chains with fee data.
Risks 1
- Dilution riskImportant
FDV = 8.5× MCap – only 12% of the supply is circulating. Future token unlocks weigh on the price.
Notes
- Golden crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed above the SMA200 29 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Sep 29, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)41neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position31%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)3.9%typical daily move ±3.9%
- Mayer Multiple0.86in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple low for Bitcoin: no clear edge (16 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−56%high on Nov 26, 2025
- Max. drawdown 1 year−64%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year0.37moderate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin0.28 / 0.10swings less than Bitcoin
- Volume trend−14%roughly the same
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- Fee growth 30 d−10.8%35 · 43 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)84.7%66 · 21 %
- TVL size$974.97M67 · 21 %
- Fee volume 30 d$382.62K31 · 14 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
12% of total supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bearish (36/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Monad · Chain · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
MONUSDT
About Monad
Monad is a high-performance Layer 1 blockchain that processes 10,000 transactions per second with near-zero fees. The platform delivers high performance without compromising on security or decentralization, creating the infrastructure needed for complex applications that require high-frequency activity. One of Monad’s key innovations lies in how it handles transaction processing. Instead of processing transactions one at a time like traditional blockchains, Monad processes multiple transactions simultaneously through parallel execution. The system separates the agreement process from the execution process, allowing validators to first agree on which transactions to include and in what order, then having more time to execute those transactions without slowing down consensus. This approach, combined with a custom-built database called MonadDB, dramatically increases throughput while maintaining accuracy. Monad also offers complete EVM compatibility, where applications built for Ethereum work on Monad without any code modifications, and users can connect with familiar wallets like MetaMask just as they would on Ethereum. Developers can immediately tap into Ethereum's established ecosystem of tools, libraries, and applications while benefitting from Monad’s performance improvements. The platform also runs on consumer-grade hardware rather than expensive specialized equipment, making it accessible for more people to participate in securing the network. Monad has raised approximately 244 million dollars in total funding across multiple rounds. The company secured 19 million dollars in a seed round in February 2023 led by Dragonfly Capital, followed by a 225 million dollar Series A round in April 2024 led by Paradigm at a 3 billion dollar valuation. Other notable investors include Electric Capital, Greenoaks, Coinbase Ventures, and prominent angel investors such as Naval Ravikant.