Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Somewhat expensive
- Risk
- Medium
- Technicals (daily)
- Neutral
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Morpho
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 2
- Market value below TVLRelevant
MCap/TVL 0.13 – common for lending/staking, otherwise a sign of a low valuation.
- Many shorts in the marketMinor
Long/short ratio 0.61 – a short squeeze is possible.
Risks 0
No notable risks right now.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day lineHistorically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)39neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position15%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)7.2%typical daily move ±7.2%
- Mayer Multiple1.02in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−48%high on Jan 17, 2025
- Max. drawdown 1 year−51%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year0.44moderate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin0.81 / 0.36swings less than Bitcoin
- Volume trend−8%roughly the same
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- TVL growth 30 d+2.8%83 · 30 %
- Fee growth 30 d+20.6%84 · 30 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)0.0%5 · 15 %
- TVL size$11.34B96 · 15 %
- Fee volume 30 d$22.9M87 · 10 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
70% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Neutral (48/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Morpho · Lending · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
MORPHOUSDT
About Morpho
Morpho is an open, efficient, and resilient platform that allows anyone to earn yield and borrow assets. Lenders can earn on Morpho using Morpho Vaults, noncustodial simple to use lending vaults that optimize yields for depositors. Borrowers can borrow any assets directly from Morpho Markets. At the same time, developers or businesses can create markets, curate vaults, and build a range of applications on its flexible, permissionless infrastructure. Morpho is really trustless, with immutable contracts, and governance minimized operations allowed by its simplicity. Morpho is efficient, it provides higher collateralization factors with its isolated lending markets, Improved interest rates and low gas consumption. Morpho is flexible with its permissionless market creation, permissionless risk management and has been designed to be developer-friendly.
Price target check for Morpho
What would Morpho need for these prices? With market cap needed, comparison and history.