Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Fair
- Risk
- Medium
- Technicals (daily)
- Bearish
- Macro
- —
There is no on-chain revenue or TVL data (DefiLlama) for this coin – typical of memecoins, for example. Hence no Growth Score. As a substitute, Kairos shows activity: average daily volume of the last 30 days versus the 60 before, as a rank in the top 250 (0 = strongest decline, 100 = strongest increase). Not tested in the backtest, not in the live test.
AI analysis: Official Trump
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 0
No notable opportunities right now.
Risks 2
- Dilution riskImportant
FDV = 3.5× MCap – only 28% of the supply is circulating. Future token unlocks weigh on the price.
- Intact downtrendRelevant
Price below SMA50, below SMA200.
Notes
- Death crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed below the SMA200 6 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
- Near the 52-week lowRelevant
Price in the bottom tenth of its yearly range – a floor or more selling?
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesDeath cross50-day line below the 200-day line since Oct 21, 2026Historically tested – Death cross for Bitcoin: no clear edge (9 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)40neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position21%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)6.9%typical daily move ±6.9%
- Mayer Multiple0.85in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple low for Bitcoin: no clear edge (16 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−98%high on Jan 19, 2025
- Max. drawdown 1 year−84%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−1.17worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin1.37 / 0.47swings more than Bitcoin
- Volume trend−44%trading is decreasing
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
There is no on-chain revenue or TVL data (DefiLlama) for this coin – typical of memecoins, for example. Hence no Growth Score. As a substitute, Kairos shows activity: average daily volume of the last 30 days versus the 60 before, as a rank in the top 250 (0 = strongest decline, 100 = strongest increase). Not tested in the backtest, not in the live test.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
28% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Downtrend · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bearish (5/100)
Derivatives (Binance perps)
TRUMPUSDT
About Official Trump
TRUMP is a politics-themed digital coin built on the Solana blockchain that uses the brand of Donald Trump to foster a community-driven ecosystem. As a community-focused asset, it is designed to bridge political support with web ownership, operating within the PolitiFi sector to blend political movements with decentralized finance tools. The project's main value proposition lies in its official ties to Donald Trump’s media and business brands, which allows it to provide unique physical utility such as invitations to gala dinners and meetings at Mar-a-Lago. The token serves as the primary currency for the officially licensed Trump Billionaires Club mobile and web game, where it is used for in-game purchases and unlocking features. By leveraging the Solana blockchain, the project ensures that these in-game actions and token transfers remain fast and cost-effective. The ecosystem remains stable through a programmatic release schedule that introduces new tokens slowly to prevent supply shocks, alongside the use of specialized market makers to maintain consistent liquidity for traders. Holders can also participate in liquidity sharing by providing their tokens to automated systems to facilitate trading for others, often earning rewards or prizes in return. Beyond digital utility, holding a specific amount of the token is a requirement for attending exclusive real-world events, including VIP parties at Mar-a-Lago. The project is managed by the Trump Meme Team and is linked with Trump Media, with an investor base that includes a wide range of retail buyers and large holders who utilize secure custody services for their assets.