Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Somewhat expensive
- Risk
- Medium
- Technicals (daily)
- Neutral
- Macro
- —
AI analysis: Ondo
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 1
- Trending on CoinGeckoMinor
Above-average attention – often short-lived.
Risks 2
- Dilution riskRelevant
FDV = 2.1× MCap – only 49% of the supply is circulating. Future token unlocks weigh on the price.
- Little development in the linked repoMinor
Last push 1,636 days ago – work may also happen in other repos.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Jun 05, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)42neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position22%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)7.6%typical daily move ±7.6%
- Mayer Multiple1.12in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−81%high on Dec 15, 2024
- Max. drawdown 1 year−69%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−0.22worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin1.41 / 0.58swings more than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+18%roughly the same
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- Fee growth 30 d+6.7%69 · 55 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)0.0%5 · 27 %
- Fee volume 30 d$7.07M68 · 18 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
49% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Neutral (48/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Ondo Finance · Derivatives · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
ONDOUSDT
Development
ondoprotocol/ondo-protocol
About Ondo
The Ondo Foundation was founded in 2022 as an independently governed and nonprofit Cayman Islands Foundation Company with no beneficial owners. The Ondo Foundation assisted in the launch of the Ondo DAO, which deployed and currently governs Flux Finance, the first lending protocol supporting tokenized securities as collateral. ONDO token holders are entrusted with shaping the future of the Ondo DAO so that it continues to pursue its mission to democratize access to institutional-grade finance. The Ondo DAO gives ONDO holders specific rights pertaining to Flux Finance, which is currently governed by the Ondo DAO.
Price target check for Ondo
What would Ondo need for these prices? With market cap needed, comparison and history.