Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Undervalued
- Risk
- Very high
- Technicals (daily)
- Bearish
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Optimism
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 0
No notable opportunities right now.
Risks 1
- Fees collapsingRelevant
−85.6% vs. the previous month.
Notes
- Golden crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed above the SMA200 22 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
- Near the 52-week lowRelevant
Price in the bottom tenth of its yearly range – a floor or more selling?
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Oct 05, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)41neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position16%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)9.5%typical daily move ±9.5%
- Mayer Multiple0.99in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple low for Bitcoin: no clear edge (16 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−98%high on Mar 06, 2024
- Max. drawdown 1 year−82%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−1.04worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin1.63 / 0.58swings more than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+33%trading is increasing
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- Fee growth 30 d−85.6%1 · 55 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)98.2%73 · 27 %
- Fee volume 30 d$75.5K9 · 18 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
53% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bearish (36/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Optimism · Chain · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
OPUSDT
Development
ethereum-optimism/optimism
About Optimism
Optimism is more than just a single blockchain – it's a growing network of chains called the Superchain, all built on the open-source OP Stack. While OP Mainnet was the first, many prominent chains now run on the Optimism’s OP Stack, including Base (by Coinbase), Unichain (by Uniswap), Ink (by Kraken), and World Chain (by Worldcoin). The OP Stack has become the leading framework for Ethereum Layer 2 chains, powering the majority of L2 activity today. Every OP Chain in the Superchain contributes back to the Optimism Collectiv and all chains follow a standardized revenue-sharing model: the greater of 2.5% of total chain revenue or 15% of onchain profit (defined as fees minus L1 gas costs) is paid back to the Optimism. By aligning economic incentives across many chains, Optimism transforms Ethereum scaling into a sustainable flywheel by delivering fast, low-cost transactions while reinvesting in the future of the ecosystem. OP holders participate in governance to shape protocol upgrades, funding decisions, and more.