Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Undervalued
- Risk
- Medium
- Technicals (daily)
- Neutral
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: PancakeSwap
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 1
- Market value below TVLRelevant
MCap/TVL 0.28 – common for lending/staking, otherwise a sign of a low valuation.
Risks 1
- Fees collapsingRelevant
−50.3% vs. the previous month.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Aug 18, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)38neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position13%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)5.6%typical daily move ±5.6%
- Mayer Multiple1.22in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−95%high on Apr 30, 2021
- Max. drawdown 1 year−56%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−0.15worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin0.87 / 0.50swings less than Bitcoin
- Volume trend−10%roughly the same
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- TVL growth 30 d+3.0%86 · 30 %
- Fee growth 30 d−50.3%9 · 30 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)33.4%48 · 15 %
- TVL size$2.39B81 · 15 %
- Fee volume 30 d$12.06M76 · 10 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
81% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Neutral (48/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
PancakeSwap · Dexs · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
CAKEUSDT
About PancakeSwap
PancakeSwap is an automated market maker (“AMM”) that allows two tokens to be exchanged on the Binance Smart Chain. It is fast, cheap, and allows anyone to participate.