Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Somewhat expensive
- Risk
- Medium
- Technicals (daily)
- Neutral
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Pendle
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 1
- Market value below TVLRelevant
MCap/TVL 0.32 – common for lending/staking, otherwise a sign of a low valuation.
Risks 0
No notable risks right now.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Aug 01, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)41neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position22%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)7.4%typical daily move ±7.4%
- Mayer Multiple1.17in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−73%high on Apr 11, 2024
- Max. drawdown 1 year−69%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−0.13worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin1.08 / 0.52swings more than Bitcoin
- Volume trend−7%roughly the same
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- TVL growth 30 d−16.1%28 · 30 %
- Fee growth 30 d−20.3%23 · 30 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)98.6%74 · 15 %
- TVL size$1.07B70 · 15 %
- Fee volume 30 d$459K36 · 10 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
62% of total supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Neutral (48/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Pendle · Yield · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
PENDLEUSDT
About Pendle
Pendle is a protocol that enables the tokenization and trading of future yield. With the creation of a novel AMM that supports assets with time decay, Pendle gives users more control over future yield by providing optionality and opportunities for its utilization.