Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Undervalued
- Risk
- Low
- Technicals (daily)
- Neutral
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: POL (ex-MATIC)
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 2
- Cheap among chainsRelevant
P/F 37× – cheaper than 90% of chains with fee data.
- High value captureRelevant
100% of fees end up as protocol revenue.
Risks 0
No notable risks right now.
Notes
- Golden crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed above the SMA200 39 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Sep 15, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)37neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position17%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)6.2%typical daily move ±6.2%
- Mayer Multiple1.01in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−93%high on Mar 13, 2024
- Max. drawdown 1 year−66%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−0.78worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin0.93 / 0.45swings less than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+10%roughly the same
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- Fee growth 30 d−2.2%47 · 43 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)99.8%77 · 21 %
- TVL size$704.42M65 · 21 %
- Fee volume 30 d$2.15M51 · 14 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
100% of total supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Neutral (56/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Polygon · Chain · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
POLUSDT
About POL (ex-MATIC)
No description available.