Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Undervalued
- Risk
- Very high
- Technicals (daily)
- Bearish
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Pons
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 2
- Cheap relative to revenueImportant
P/S 4.4× – cheaper than 88% of protocols with revenue data.
- Trending on CoinGeckoMinor
Above-average attention – often short-lived.
Risks 5
- Falling knifeImportant
−56.7% in 30 days, trend still pointing down.
- Fees collapsingRelevant
−85.5% vs. the previous month.
- Short price historyRelevant
The all-time high and all-time low both fall within the last 6 months – there is little experience of how the price behaves over longer periods.
- Very high volatilityRelevant
130% annualised (7 d).
- Intact downtrendRelevant
Price below SMA50, below SMA200.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- RSI (14 days)37neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDpositiveshort-term momentum stronger than recently
- Bollinger position28%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)8.3%typical daily move ±8.3%
- Distance to all-time high−74%high on Sep 05, 2026
- Max. drawdown 1 year−74%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year4.07good (1 or more)
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin-0.28 / -0.03swings less than Bitcoin
- Volume trend−25%trading is decreasing
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- Fee growth 30 d−85.5%2 · 55 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)15.1%33 · 27 %
- Fee volume 30 d$21.36M86 · 18 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
67% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Downtrend · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bearish (39/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Pons · Launchpad · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
PONSUSDT
About Pons
No description available.