Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Fair
- Risk
- Very high
- Technicals (daily)
- Neutral
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Pump.fun
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 1
- Cheap relative to revenueImportant
P/S 2.4× – cheaper than 94% of protocols with revenue data.
Risks 0
No notable risks right now.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Aug 14, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)43neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position27%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)11.7%typical daily move ±11.7%
- Mayer Multiple1.53in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−51%high on Sep 14, 2025
- Max. drawdown 1 year−77%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year0.49moderate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin1.19 / 0.32swings more than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+10%roughly the same
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- TVL growth 30 d−16.3%25 · 30 %
- Fee growth 30 d+18.5%82 · 30 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)35.7%52 · 15 %
- TVL size$334.05M56 · 15 %
- Fee volume 30 d$189.92M99 · 10 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
46% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Neutral (48/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Pump · Dexs · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
PUMPUSDT
About Pump.fun
No description available.
Price target check for Pump.fun
What would Pump.fun need for these prices? With market cap needed, comparison and history.