Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Somewhat expensive
- Risk
- Very high
- Technicals (daily)
- Neutral
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Railgun
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 0
No notable opportunities right now.
Risks 2
- Low liquidityRelevant
Daily volume only 0.05% of market cap.
- Small market capMinor
$149.15M – more prone to sharp swings.
Notes
- Golden crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed above the SMA200 46 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Sep 09, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)49neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position44%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)5.7%typical daily move ±5.7%
- Mayer Multiple1.22in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−56%high on Nov 07, 2025
- Max. drawdown 1 year−83%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year0.84moderate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin-0.03 / -0.01swings less than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+33%trading is increasing
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- TVL growth 30 d+15.7%88 · 30 %
- Fee growth 30 d+13.4%76 · 30 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)100%89 · 15 %
- TVL size$112.77M38 · 15 %
- Fee volume 30 d$382.73K32 · 10 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
60% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Neutral (56/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Railgun · Privacy · DefiLlama
About Railgun
RAILGUN secures privacy for DEX trading and lending. Built without any bridge or layer-2, RAILGUN is a smart contract system that gives zk-SNARK privacy to any transaction or smart contract interaction on Ethereum. Using RAILGUN means users can stay private when they trade, send tokens, and manage their on-chain activity. It allows any user to build up a private balance and trade through it without withdrawing. It is fully on-chain, so it does not trade off security by using a layer 2 node system or cross-chain bridges. RAIL is a utility token giving access to treasury rewards for stakers who then can vote for and against protocol updates. RAILGUN is currently on Ethereum, BSC, Polygon, and Arbitrum.