Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Fair
- Risk
- Low
- Technicals (daily)
- Neutral
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Solana
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 1
- Trending on CoinGeckoMinor
Above-average attention – often short-lived.
Risks 1
- One-sided long positioningRelevant
Long/short ratio 3.08 (accounts).
Notes
- Golden crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed above the SMA200 54 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Sep 02, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)36neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position19%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)4.3%typical daily move ±4.3%
- Mayer Multiple1.15in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−66%high on Jan 19, 2025
- Max. drawdown 1 year−69%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−0.82worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin1.23 / 0.83swings more than Bitcoin, usually moves with it
- Volume trend−6%roughly the same
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- Fee growth 30 d+2.6%61 · 43 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)12.2%24 · 21 %
- TVL size$5.72B92 · 21 %
- Fee volume 30 d$24.77M90 · 14 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
Key figures
Market
Supply
93% of total supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Neutral (56/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Solana · Chain · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
SOLUSDT
About Solana
Solana is a high-performance Layer 1 blockchain designed for mass adoption by providing a fast, secure, and low-cost environment for decentralized applications. It distinguishes itself by scaling globally without the use of complex sharding or multiple layers, instead maintaining a single, unified ledger to avoid liquidity fragmentation. This architecture allows it to process thousands of transactions per second with sub-second finality, often at a cost of less than a penny per transaction. The network operates on a unique hybrid model that combines Proof of Stake with an innovation called Proof of History, which functions as a decentralized clock to timestamp transactions. This system reduces the need for constant node communication, allowing the Sealevel engine to run non-conflicting smart contracts in parallel across multiple CPU cores. Further efficiency is gained through the Gulf Stream protocol, which reduces confirmation times by forwarding transactions to validators before the current block is finished. Founded in 2017 by Anatoly Yakovenko, Solana is now supported by the Switzerland-based Solana Foundation and significant institutional investors like Andreessen Horowitz and Polychain Capital. The platform’s native token, SOL, serves as the primary currency for paying transaction fees, participating in network governance, and securing the system through staking. Solana has also seen significant institutional adoption ranging from spot Solana ETFs to major partnerships including Visa's 2025 launch of USDC settlement on the network and the tokenization of public equity by firms like Galaxy Digital.
Price target check for Solana
What would Solana need for these prices? With market cap needed, comparison and history.