Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Undervalued
- Risk
- Medium
- Technicals (daily)
- Bearish
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Maple Finance
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 2
- Market value below TVLRelevant
MCap/TVL 0.08 – common for lending/staking, otherwise a sign of a low valuation.
- Many shorts in the marketMinor
Long/short ratio 0.66 – a short squeeze is possible.
Risks 0
No notable risks right now.
Notes
- Golden crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed above the SMA200 31 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Sep 26, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)31neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position17%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)8.8%typical daily move ±8.8%
- Mayer Multiple0.91in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple low for Bitcoin: no clear edge (16 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−73%high on Jun 25, 2025
- Max. drawdown 1 year−74%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−0.56worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin1.21 / 0.57swings more than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+32%trading is increasing
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- TVL growth 30 d−11.5%51 · 30 %
- Fee growth 30 d−12.6%31 · 30 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)15.2%34 · 15 %
- TVL size$2.66B84 · 15 %
- Fee volume 30 d$8.31M69 · 10 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
92% of total supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bearish (36/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Maple Finance · Lending · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
SYRUPUSDT
About Maple Finance
Maple is an onchain asset manager that activates capital through lending and trading. Lenders provide capital to underwritten strategies for yield opportunities, and institutional borrowers access capital from those strategies to fund and grow their businesses. The yield lenders receive comes from the interest those borrowers repay. Partners embed the same yield into their own products. Through full market cycles since 2019, Maple has originated more than $25B in loans, manages $4.8B in assets, and has distributed more than $100M in yield back to lenders, with every position and transaction verifiable onchain. Discover more at maple.finance. Onchain Capital. Activated.