Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Overvalued
- Risk
- Medium
- Technicals (daily)
- Bearish
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Gram (prev. Toncoin)
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 0
No notable opportunities right now.
Risks 3
- Low liquidityRelevant
Daily volume only 0.83% of market cap.
- Intact downtrendRelevant
Price below SMA50, below SMA200.
- Expensive among chainsMinor
P/F 4,036× – the market pays a high premium on fees.
Notes
- Near the 52-week lowRelevant
Price in the bottom tenth of its yearly range – a floor or more selling?
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- RSI (14 days)34neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position1%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)5.7%typical daily move ±5.7%
- Distance to all-time high−85%high on Jun 14, 2024
- Max. drawdown 1 year−32%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−1.56worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin0.82 / 0.55swings less than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+15%roughly the same
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- Fee growth 30 d+2.1%60 · 43 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)50.0%56 · 21 %
- TVL size$45.83M31 · 21 %
- Fee volume 30 d$69.84K8 · 14 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
54% of total supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Downtrend · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bearish (23/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
TON · Chain · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
GRAMUSDT
Development
ton-blockchain/ton
About Gram (prev. Toncoin)
TON (The Open Network) is a general-purpose blockchain that allows developers to build decentralized apps and tokens.
Price target check for Gram (prev. Toncoin)
What would Gram (prev. Toncoin) need for these prices? With market cap needed, comparison and history.