Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Undervalued
- Risk
- Medium
- Technicals (daily)
- Neutral
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: THORChain
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 1
- Cheap among chainsRelevant
P/F 6.9× – cheaper than 98% of chains with fee data.
Risks 1
- Little development in the linked repoMinor
Last push 575 days ago – work may also happen in other repos.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Aug 24, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)45neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position25%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)5.9%typical daily move ±5.9%
- Mayer Multiple1.28in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−97%high on May 18, 2021
- Max. drawdown 1 year−63%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−0.20worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin1.27 / 0.66swings more than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+25%trading is increasing
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- Fee growth 30 d−3.8%42 · 43 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)27.8%44 · 21 %
- TVL size$34.46M24 · 21 %
- Fee volume 30 d$2.48M54 · 14 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
93% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Neutral (48/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
THORChain · Chain · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
RUNEUSDT
Development
thorchain/Resources
About THORChain
THORChain is the first cross-chain decentralized exchange (DEX) to swap Bitcoin, without bridges or wrapped assets. THORChain is permissionless and no KYC is required. THORChain currently supports swapping between 13 different blockchains. They are: Bitcoin Ethereum XRP Ledger BNB Smart Chain Solana TRON Dogecoin Bitcoin Cash Litecoin Avalanche Cosmos Base THORChain More blockchains will be supported over time.