Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Fair
- Risk
- Low
- Technicals (daily)
- Neutral
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: TRON
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 1
- High value captureRelevant
100% of fees end up as protocol revenue.
Risks 0
No notable risks right now.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Apr 07, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)46neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDpositiveshort-term momentum stronger than recently
- Bollinger position44%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)1.0%typical daily move ±1.0%
- Mayer Multiple0.99in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple low for Bitcoin: no clear edge (16 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−23%high on Dec 03, 2024
- Max. drawdown 1 year−16%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year0.39moderate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin0.13 / 0.33swings less than Bitcoin
- Volume trend−8%roughly the same
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- Fee growth 30 d+0.6%55 · 43 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)100%89 · 21 %
- TVL size$5.4B88 · 21 %
- Fee volume 30 d$23.85M88 · 14 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
100% of total supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Neutral (44/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Tron · Chain · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
TRXUSDT
About TRON
TRON is a decentralized blockchain-based operating system designed to accelerate the decentralization of the internet and its underlying infrastructure. It serves as a global settlement layer for stablecoins and everyday digital purchases, providing a high-throughput environment to support large-scale decentralized applications. The network is governed by a decentralized autonomous organization (DAO), which allows the community to manage the protocol without a central authority. Its primary value proposition includes a unique resource model that utilizes bandwidth and energy to allow for high transaction volumes without traditional fee spikes. The platform functions as a smart contract platform that enables the creation of decentralized applications and is compatible with the Ethereum Virtual Machine, allowing developers to easily migrate applications. TRON operates using a Delegated Proof of Stake consensus mechanism where token holders vote for 27 Super Representatives to verify transactions and maintain the ledger. This structure is built for scalability and fast finality, aiming to handle more transactions per second than many established legacy blockchains. Users can interact with the ecosystem for various purposes, including decentralized finance (DeFi) through platforms like JustLend DAO and decentralized storage via the BitTorrent File System. Value moves through the system via its native utility token, TRX, which facilitates transactions and grants users access to network resources. Holders can lock their TRX in a staking mechanism to gain TRON Power, which is used to vote on network rules and elect Super Representatives, earning rewards for securing the network. Established by the TRON Foundation and led by founder Justin Sun, the project has transitioned into a community-led DAO. The ecosystem is supported by strategic partnerships with major global entities, including Samsung, which integrated TRON into its blockchain keystore, as well as BitTorrent, Opera, and Swisscom Blockchain.
Price target check for TRON
What would TRON need for these prices? With market cap needed, comparison and history.