Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Fair
- Risk
- Medium
- Technicals (daily)
- Bearish
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Trust Wallet
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 2
- Cheap relative to revenueImportant
P/S 7.9× – cheaper than 86% of protocols with revenue data.
- High value captureRelevant
100% of fees end up as protocol revenue.
Risks 1
- Dilution riskRelevant
FDV = 2.4× MCap – only 42% of the supply is circulating. Future token unlocks weigh on the price.
Notes
- Golden crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed above the SMA200 48 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Sep 09, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)33neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position21%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)5.7%typical daily move ±5.7%
- Mayer Multiple0.99in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple low for Bitcoin: no clear edge (16 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−84%high on Dec 11, 2022
- Max. drawdown 1 year−75%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−1.23worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin0.76 / 0.40swings less than Bitcoin
- Volume trend−34%trading is decreasing
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- Fee growth 30 d+9.5%73 · 55 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)100%89 · 27 %
- Fee volume 30 d$1.9M50 · 18 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
42% of total supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bearish (36/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Trust Wallet · Interface · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
TWTUSDT
About Trust Wallet
Trust Wallet Token (TWT) 511 is a utility token that can only be used within the app. This will be used to incentivize all Trust Wallet users. What are the Incentives of (TWT)? Governance token that will be used by anyone who wants to take part in making decisions for adding new blockchain support, tokens and product features. Will also be collected as fees for submissions to the Trust Wallet repository 59. Discounts on DEX services and purchasing crypto within the app. Collectible Marketplace, anyone interested in trading, selling or buying digital collectibles can utilize the token in a user-friendly environment. DApp reviews and promotions to incentivize developers to work on DApps that contribute to further adoption of Web 3.0 on mobile devices. Affiliate and bounty rewards, the token can be converted to BNB or ETH, that can be used for Network Fees. Vouching and User reputation, users will be able to vouch for developers of products they enjoy to show the quality of the product to the rest of the Trust Ecosystem.