Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Somewhat expensive
- Risk
- Medium
- Technicals (daily)
- Bearish
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Virtuals Protocol
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 0
No notable opportunities right now.
Risks 2
- Expensive relative to revenueRelevant
P/S 346× – more expensive than 91% of the peer group.
- Fees collapsingRelevant
−47.4% vs. the previous month.
Notes
- Golden crossRelevant
The SMA50 crossed above the SMA200 31 days ago. Whether this signal has had an edge so far is shown in the Indicator Check.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day line since Sep 26, 2026Historically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)39neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position18%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)6.9%typical daily move ±6.9%
- Mayer Multiple0.94in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple low for Bitcoin: no clear edge (16 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−88%high on Jan 01, 2025
- Max. drawdown 1 year−72%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−0.28worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin1.49 / 0.68swings more than Bitcoin
- Volume trend+4%roughly the same
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- Fee growth 30 d−47.4%10 · 55 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)30.2%45 · 27 %
- Fee volume 30 d$323.94K27 · 18 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
66% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Sideways · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bearish (36/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Virtuals Protocol · AI Agents · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
VIRTUALUSDT
About Virtuals Protocol
Virtuals Protocol is a launchpad platform launched in 2024 that enables users to create, tokenize, and monetize AI agents for gaming, entertainment, and virtual environments without requiring technical expertise. Initially built on Ethereum's Base Layer 2 network, the protocol has expanded to Ethereum mainnet, Solana, and Ronin as of 2025. VIRTUAL serves as the base liquidity pair and transactional currency for all AI agent interactions across the ecosystem. The protocol operates through a bonding curve system where new AI agents are created with a 100 VIRTUAL fee. Users can buy and sell agent tokens until the agent reaches 42,000 VIRTUAL, at which point it graduates to a permanent liquidity pool paired with VIRTUAL. AI agents are multimodal, capable of text, speech, and 3D animation, and can manage on-chain wallets autonomously. Notable examples include Luna, an AI girl band vocalist with over 500,000 TikTok followers. The GAME framework powers agent functionality, enabling them to process inputs, generate responses, and remember past interactions. Virtuals Protocol was founded by Jansen Teng and Weekee Tiew, evolving from PathDAO, a gaming guild established in 2021 that pivoted to AI agents in January 2024. The team raised $16 million in seed funding led by DeFiance Capital and Beam. In 2025, major partnerships were announced with Animoca Brands and a collaboration with Zyfai and BasisOS to launch an Agentic Fund of Funds. Users can stake VIRTUAL tokens for veVIRTUAL to participate in DAO governance and may receive airdrops of agent tokens. When users interact with agents, they pay fees in VIRTUAL that generate protocol revenue. This revenue funds periodic buybacks and burns of the VIRTUAL token, reducing its total supply as a value-accrual mechanism for holders.