Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Fair
- Risk
- Low
- Technicals (daily)
- Bearish
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: World Liberty Financial
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 2
- High value captureRelevant
100% of fees end up as protocol revenue.
- Many shorts in the marketMinor
Long/short ratio 0.73 – a short squeeze is possible.
Risks 3
- Dilution riskImportant
FDV = 3.1× MCap – only 32% of the supply is circulating. Future token unlocks weigh on the price.
- Low liquidityRelevant
Daily volume only 0.90% of market cap.
- Intact downtrendRelevant
Price below SMA50, below SMA200.
Notes
- Near the 52-week lowRelevant
Price in the bottom tenth of its yearly range – a floor or more selling?
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesDeath cross50-day line below the 200-day lineHistorically tested – Death cross for Bitcoin: no clear edge (9 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)37neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position8%lower half of the band
- ATR (14 days)4.1%typical daily move ±4.1%
- Mayer Multiple0.88in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple low for Bitcoin: no clear edge (16 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−84%high on Sep 01, 2025
- Max. drawdown 1 year−72%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year−1.19worse than the risk-free rate
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin0.37 / 0.34swings less than Bitcoin
- Volume trend−24%trading is decreasing
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- Fee growth 30 d+3.3%64 · 55 %
- Value capture (revenue/fees)100%89 · 27 %
- Fee volume 30 d$11.94M73 · 18 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
32% of max supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Downtrend · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bearish (13/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
World Liberty Financial · Lending · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
WLFIUSDT
About World Liberty Financial
No description available.
Price target check for World Liberty Financial
What would World Liberty Financial need for these prices? With market cap needed, comparison and history.