Kairos assessment
relative to the top 250 · not a recommendation- Valuation
- Overvalued
- Risk
- Very high
- Technicals (daily)
- Bullish
- Macro
- Headwind
AI analysis: Zama
Valuation, bull & bear case, technicals, macro and triggers – from all live data
Opportunities & risks
Detected automatically from valuation, on-chain data, technicals, derivatives, development and news.
Opportunities 2
- TVL growing stronglyRelevant
+58.9% in 30 days.
- Intact uptrendRelevant
Price above SMA50, above SMA200.
Risks 1
- Dilution riskImportant
FDV = 4.4× MCap – only 23% of the supply is circulating. Future token unlocks weigh on the price.
Well-known indicators
From daily candles · each row with context – whether a signal has helped so far is shown in the Indicator Check
- 50- and 200-day linesGolden cross50-day line above the 200-day lineHistorically tested – Golden cross for Bitcoin: tendency, not confirmed (8 signals) →
- RSI (14 days)53neutral (30–70)Historically tested – RSI oversold for Bitcoin: no clear edge (21 signals) →
- MACDnegativeshort-term momentum weaker than recently
- Bollinger position69%upper half of the band
- ATR (14 days)9.7%typical daily move ±9.7%
- Mayer Multiple1.65in the usual range (0.8–2.4)Historically tested – Mayer Multiple high for Bitcoin: too few signals (4 signals) →
- Distance to all-time high−29%high on Sep 23, 2026
- Max. drawdown 1 year−49%largest drop from a high in 12 months
- Sharpe ratio 1 year1.42good (1 or more)
- Beta / correlation to Bitcoin1.76 / 0.51swings more than Bitcoin
- Volume trend−31%trading is decreasing
Why this assessment?
Every value is built from factors – value, percentile (0–100) and weight. Everything is relative to the top 250: a model-based assessment, not a recommendation. What actually works: Track Record
- TVL growth 30 d+58.9%96 · 67 %
- TVL size$135.82M43 · 33 %
The Growth Score is the fundamentals pillar – unchanged in a live test since 29 Sep 2026. In the backtest it was the only pillar positively linked to later performance. We picked it after looking at the data, so it is a hypothesis, not a forecast.
News
No recent articles on CoinDesk, Cointelegraph or Decrypt.
Key figures
Market
Supply
23% of total supply circulating
All-time high & low
Price range and trend
Uptrend · points verdict from trend, RSI, MACD and crosses: Bullish (71/100)
Fundamentals (on-chain)
Zama · Privacy · DefiLlama
Derivatives (Binance perps)
ZAMAUSDT
About Zama
Zama is an open source cryptography company that builds state-of-the-art Fully Homomorphic Encryption (FHE) solutions for blockchain.